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Track Record

Entire History

 

Summary of Performance (Includes Back-Testing, Live Testing and Period Since Launch)
January 1, 1998 to October 18, 2011 (13.80 years)

CSA Market Timing Indicator Performance (Annualized) 22.11%
Performance of 100% Long S&P 500 Portfolio (Annualized) 1.71%
Outperformance (Annualized) 2040 bps
Cumulative Value of $100,000 invested using CSA Indicator $1,573,059
Cumulative Value of $100,000 invested in S&P 500 $126,272
Excess Return over S&P 500 using CSA Indicator $1,446,787
% of Signals where CSA Indicator Outperformed the S&P 500 60.0%
% of Signals where CSA Indicator Performed the Same as S&P 500 15.0%
% of Signals where CSA Indicator Underperformed the S&P 500 25.0%
Average Equity Position During Period 47.6%

All portfolio returns above are stated without dividends
 

Three Year Rolling Returns (Annualized)
January 1, 1998 to December 31, 2009

Year CSA Indicator S&P 500 Outperformance by CSA Indicator
1998-2000 21.23% 10.81% 1043 bps
1999-2001 20.33% -2.25% 2258 bps
2000-2002 25.05% -15.71% 4076 bps
2001-2003 30.03% -5.56% 3559 bps
2002-2004 30.03% 1.82% 2821 bps
2003-2005 27.29% 12.37% 1492 bps
2004-2006 12.88% 8.45% 443 bps
2005-2007 7.99% 6.61% 139 bps
2006-2008 4.03% -10.05% 1408 bps
2007-2009 35.90% -7.52% 4342 bps

 

A summary of all trades during the test period is provided in PDF format (click here).  Trades triggered since the launch of the subscription service are available to clients only.
 


Since Public Launch


 

Summary of Performance Since Launch
January 16, 2009 to October 18, 2011 (2.75 years)

CSA Market Timing Indicator Performance (Annualized) 36.58%
Performance of 100% Long S&P 500 Portfolio (Annualized) 14.21%
Outperformance (Annualized) 2237 bps
Cumulative Value of $100,000 invested using CSA Indicator $235,777
Cumulative Value of $100,000 invested in S&P 500 $144,142
Excess Return over S&P 500 using CSA Indicator $91,635
% of Signals where CSA Indicator Outperformed the S&P 500 56.0%
% of Signals where CSA Indicator Performed the Same as S&P 500 24.0%
% of Signals where CSA Indicator Underperformed the S&P 500 20.0%
Average Equity Position During Period 122.6%

All portfolio returns above are stated without dividends

 

Copyright © 2009 Cormier Strategy Advisors Inc. All rights reserved. The CSA Market Timing Indicator is a service of Cormier Strategy Advisors Inc. of Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada and is for information purposes only, offered as a periodical of general circulation; not to be deemed to be as constituting personalized investment advice. Subscribers should consult with their financial advisors prior to implementing any strategy based on the information provided. Derived from sources believed to be reliable, but no warranty is made as to accuracy. Questions may be directed to Paul Cormier at paul@csamarkettiming.com. The charts, commentary and model portfolio changes represent what Paul thinks about the market and what he is doing or thinking of doing for his own account at the time of writing. Cormier Strategy Advisors Inc., its management and their families may have positions or may make trades in securities mentioned in these commentaries. There is no guarantee that you will profit from trading as discussed herein. Although the CSA Market Timing Indicator has a history of superior performance, it is important to understand that past performance is no guarantee of future returns and that even within a successful system, not all investment decisions are successful. You may lose money and Cormier Strategy Advisors Inc. assumes no responsibility for what you do or do not do with this information.
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